In first public poll, Weprin leads Turner by six points
by Lisa A. Fraser
Aug 16, 2011 | 2654 views | 0 0 comments | 72 72 recommendations | email to a friend | print
The results of a Siena College poll released last Wednesday show that David Weprin, the Democratic candidate for the 9th Congressional seat, is leading Republican Bob Turner by six points.

The poll, which was conducted from August 3 through August 8, showed Weprin in the lead with 48 percent favorability, while Turner is close behind with 42 percent.

The poll also showed that Queens voters favor Weprin by 10 points, while Brooklyn voters, who account for about one-third of the district, support Turner by a six-point margin.

“Turner and Weprin have virtually identical favorability ratings, with nearly half of likely voters not knowing enough about either candidate to have an opinion,” said pollster Steven Greenberg. “Each is viewed favorably by 31 percent of voters, with Weprin having a slightly higher unfavorable rating, 24 percent, than Turner, 20 percent.”

According to Greenberg, the 55-year-old Weprin has a two-to-one favorable rating with Democrats and a two-to-one unfavorable rating with Republicans. More independent voters view him unfavorably than favorably. In fact, independent voters favor Turner by a four-point lead.

The slim results are shaking up the race to represent a district where there are more than three times as many Democrats as Republicans.

But the fact that Weprin holds only a six-point lead over Turner isn’t fazing his team.

“The poll simply confirms what we already know – that David Weprin is winning this election because New Yorkers know they can trust him to protect Medicare and Social Security,” said Weprin’s team in a statement.

Turner, a 70-year-old former business executive is also not fazed.

"This survey reflects exactly what I am hearing on the streets of Queens and Brooklyn. Economic recovery and job growth are what matter to voters of all parties,” he said in a statement. “They want representatives in Congress with real-world business experience, not more career politicians.”

The poll results come with official word of Weprin’s endorsement by nearly a dozen female elected officials and Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani’s official endorsement of Turner.

According to the poll, women gave Weprin an 11-point advantage over Turner while voters under 55 years of age gave Weprin a big lead. Voters over 55 years of age are evenly divided between the two candidates. Catholic voters favor Turner more, while Jewish voters favor Weprin more.

“Five weeks until Election Day, and this special election is a wide open race with both candidates trying to become more known to the voters of the district and earn their support,” Greenberg said. “In a district with far more Democrats than Republicans, Turner is garnering the support of nearly one-third of Democrats. He will have to do at least that well on Election Day to have a chance to win, while Weprin will need to bring Democrats ‘back home’ if he wants to crack the 50 percent mark.”

Another poll will be released before the special election, which will be held on September 13.

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